Provenance
Sources and credits
Every figure, every case, and every frame — including which frames were generated rather than filmed.
Sources for every figure on this site
The build refuses to ship a page containing a statistic that is not in this table. Where a figure is a snapshot or an estimate, the caveat is printed with it rather than left off.
| Key | Figure | Source |
|---|---|---|
rel_family | 34.2% — of victims under 18 in sexual assaults reported to law enforcement were assaulted by a family member | Snyder, Sexual Assault of Young Children as Reported to Law Enforcement, Bureau of Justice Statistics NCJ 182990 (2000) |
rel_acq | 58.7% — were assaulted by an acquaintance | Snyder, BJS NCJ 182990 (2000) |
rel_stranger | 7.0% — were assaulted by a stranger | Snyder, BJS NCJ 182990 (2000) This is the share of cases REPORTED TO LAW ENFORCEMENT, which is not the same as the share of cases that occur. |
no_prior | 95.9% — of sexual offence arrests over a 21-year period in New York were by people with no prior sex offence conviction | Sandler, Freeman & Socia, Does a Watched Pot Boil?, Psychology, Public Policy, and Law 14(4):284–302 (2008) One state, one period. It is the most-cited figure of its kind, not a national constant. |
recid | 7.7% — of sex offenders released from state prison in 2005 were arrested for a sex offence within nine years | Alper & Durose, Recidivism of Sex Offenders Released from State Prison: A 9-Year Follow-Up (2005–2014), BJS NCJ 251773 (2019) |
recid_ratio | 3 times — the rate at which other released prisoners were arrested for a sex offence (2.3%) | Alper & Durose, BJS NCJ 251773 (2019) |
kidnap | about 115 — stereotypical kidnappings — taken by a stranger or slight acquaintance and held overnight, transported a distance, ransomed, killed, or intended to be kept — were estimated in a year | Finkelhor, Hammer & Sedlak, NISMART-2, Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (2002) A 1999 estimate with wide confidence bounds. Later NISMART work put the figure in the same order of magnitude. |
registry | roughly 780,000 — people are on sex offender registries in the United States | National Center for Missing & Exploited Children, registered sex offender survey (recent published snapshot) A survey snapshot that moves year to year and counts people, not current supervision status. |
grady | 2015 — the Supreme Court held that attaching a device to a person to track their movements is a Fourth Amendment search | Grady v. North Carolina, 575 U.S. 306 (2015) (per curiam) |
snyder | 2016 — the Sixth Circuit held Michigan’s retroactive registry amendments punitive, and so an ex post facto violation | Does #1–5 v. Snyder, 834 F.3d 696 (6th Cir. 2016), cert. denied, 138 S. Ct. 55 (2017) |
muniz | 2017 — Pennsylvania’s Supreme Court reached the same conclusion about its own registration statute | Commonwealth v. Muniz, 164 A.3d 1189 (Pa. 2017) |
smithdoe | 2003 — the Supreme Court upheld retroactive registration and notification as civil rather than punitive | Smith v. Doe, 538 U.S. 84 (2003) |
packingham | 2017 — the Supreme Court struck down a ban on registrants accessing social media | Packingham v. North Carolina, 582 U.S. 98 (2017) |
belleau | 2016 — the Seventh Circuit upheld lifetime GPS monitoring against Fourth Amendment and ex post facto challenges | Belleau v. Wall, 811 F.3d 929 (7th Cir. 2016) |
gradync | 2019 — North Carolina’s Supreme Court held lifetime satellite-based monitoring unreasonable as applied to a recidivist no longer under supervision | State v. Grady, 372 N.C. 509, 831 S.E.2d 542 (2019) |
taylor | 2015 — California’s Supreme Court held Jessica’s Law’s blanket 2,000-foot residency restriction unconstitutional as applied to San Diego County parolees | In re Taylor, 60 Cal. 4th 1019 (2015) |
mendoza | seven — factors are used to decide whether a nominally civil scheme is punitive in effect | Kennedy v. Mendoza-Martinez, 372 U.S. 144, 168–69 (1963) |
mathews | 1976 — the Supreme Court set out the balancing test for what process is due before a deprivation | Mathews v. Eldridge, 424 U.S. 319 (1976) |
lunsford | 2005 — Florida enacted a 25-year mandatory minimum and lifetime electronic monitoring for certain offences against children under 12 | Jessica Lunsford Act, ch. 2005-28, Laws of Florida; see Fla. Stat. §§ 947.1405, 948.30 |
jessicas | 2006 — California voters approved lifetime GPS monitoring for felony registrants and a 2,000-foot residency restriction | Proposition 83 (2006); Cal. Penal Code §§ 3004(b), 3003.5(b) |
millard | 2020 — a district court holding that registry effects amounted to cruel and unusual punishment was reversed on appeal | Millard v. Rankin, 265 F. Supp. 3d 1211 (D. Colo. 2017), rev’d sub nom. Millard v. Camper, 971 F.3d 1174 (10th Cir. 2020) |
Footage
Every full-bleed band on this site is a seven-second loop built from one of two kinds of source. Filmed footage is licensed from Pexels and the photographer is credited on the band itself as well as here. Generated footage is abstract by construction — it depicts no person, no place, no record and no interface, and it is labelled as generated wherever it appears.
| Band | What it shows | Origin | Measured |
|---|---|---|---|
home |
sunrise over a sleeping neighbourhood | Macourt Media — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 607 KB |
exists |
courthouse and flag — the statutes that already exist | In Old News LLC — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 2006 KB |
threat |
blurred monochrome crowd — nobody identifiable | Coverr — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 1175 KB |
tiers |
transit platform — the false-alert environment | Beyzaa Yurtkuran — Pexels | 6.96 s · 1600×900 · 1005 KB |
legal |
neoclassical columns | HTJ Media Advertising — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 1795 KB |
devices |
fibre optic burst | TP Motion — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 896 KB |
coverage |
an empty living room at dusk — where most abuse happens | Florian Delée — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 276 KB |
dueprocess |
empty hearing-room seats | Nino Souza — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 1083 KB |
operations |
monitor wall, one panel reading connection failed | Kiwi and Camera — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 1396 KB |
spec |
drawings on a table | Tima Miroshnichenko — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 831 KB |
privacy |
a figure still visible through frosted glass | Özgür Sürmeli — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 375 KB |
close |
open water at first light | Marianna Sigov — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 449 KB |
tamper |
fibre optic strands in the dark — the continuity loop | Adam Fackelman — Pexels | 7.00 s · 1600×900 · 822 KB |
dataflow |
generated abstract | Generated with OpenAI Sora 2 | 6.54 s · 1600×900 · 1459 KB |
token |
generated abstract | Generated with OpenAI Sora 2 | 6.00 s · 1600×900 · 319 KB |
escalation |
generated abstract | Generated with OpenAI Sora 2 | 6.54 s · 1600×900 · 834 KB |
perimeter |
generated abstract | Generated with OpenAI Sora 2 | 6.54 s · 1600×900 · 364 KB |
ledger |
generated abstract | Generated with OpenAI Sora 2 | 6.54 s · 1600×900 · 532 KB |
On what the footage may show
No frame on this site shows an identifiable child. Every candidate clip was reviewed as a still before selection, and clips containing identifiable faces, brand marks, or readable third-party text were rejected rather than cropped. The generated clips were prompted with an explicit prohibition on people, faces, hands, children, text, logos and interfaces, and were reviewed on the same basis.
How this site was built
- Static HTML, generated by a build script. No framework, no analytics, no third-party requests of any kind — enforced by a build gate, not by intention.
- The instruments are plain JavaScript in
/assets/engine.js. They compute in your browser, make no network calls and store nothing. - Loops encoded with ffmpeg; the wrap is a one-second cross-dissolve of the clip’s tail over its head, so the join is continuous.
- Footage licensed from Pexels under the Pexels licence. Generated clips from OpenAI Sora 2.
Status of this document
This is a design document. No system described here has been built, procured, piloted or deployed, and nothing on this site should be read as describing an existing programme. It is published so the concept can be argued with before anyone spends money on it.